Bitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM

Settled: Down

Decided by Chainlink price data stream

Result posted: Thu Oct 29, 12:36 PM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Thu Oct 29, 12:36 PM ET

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Chainlink (the BTC/USD pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.No
What has to happen
The time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.
DownThe result is “Down”.Yes
What has to happen
Down beats Up, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

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The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by Chainlink data stream

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Chainlink price data stream (data.chain.link). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 12:30 PM (time zone not stated).

Source named: Chainlink data stream (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

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