Bitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM

>99% say Down

Prices last updated 59 minutes ago. They normally update every minute.

Down 50 points today.

Decided by Chainlink price data stream, by November 9, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Chainlink (the BTC/USD pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.<1%
What has to happen
The time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.
DownThe result is “Down”.>99%
What has to happen
Down beats Up, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Up <1%Down >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by Chainlink data stream

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Chainlink price data stream (data.chain.link). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 12:30 AM (time zone not stated).

Source named: Chainlink data stream (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.”
“Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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