MarketWeaver

Soccer

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?

11% say CR Vasco da Gama wins

Down 16 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 11¢ means about an 11% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

Possible results

  • CA ParanaenseCA Paranaense wins.65%

    What has to happen

    CA Paranaense wins, under the rules.

  • CR Vasco da GamaCR Vasco da Gama wins.11%

    What has to happen

    CR Vasco da Gama wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 21.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 33.5¢ to 12.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats24m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If CR Vasco da Gama wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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