Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Under wins

Down 36 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 4 at 5:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for November 4 at 5:30 PM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.<1%
What has to happen
CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama combine to score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time).
UnderUnder wins.>99%
What has to happen
The combined first-half total is less than 2 goals.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Over <1%Under >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 22.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 23¢ to 0.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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