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Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-01?

>99% say SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins

Up 62 points today.

Decided by 2. Bundesliga official results, by November 1, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 1, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth wins.>99%
What has to happen
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, under the rules.
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel wins.<1%
What has to happen
Holstein Kiel wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes >99%No <1%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by 2. Bundesliga official

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on 2. Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: 2. Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
10m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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