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Alvark Tokyo vs Nagasaki Velca: who will win?

68% say Alvark Tokyo wins

Up 17 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 68¢ means about a 68% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Alvark Tokyo and Nagasaki Velca play a match.

Possible results

Alvark TokyoAlvark Tokyo wins.68%
What has to happen
The Alvark Tokyo win.
Nagasaki VelcaNagasaki Velca wins.32%
What has to happen
The Nagasaki Velca win.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Alvark Tokyo 68%Nagasaki Velca 32%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 27.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 41.5¢ to 69¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed13m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 5:05 AM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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