Bitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM

>99% say Down

Down 50 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT, by October 27, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.<1%
What has to happen
The close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.
DownThe result is “Down”.>99%
What has to happen
Down beats Up, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Up <1%Down >99%

-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by binance.com

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

Stated Condition

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 PM (date from market title) (time zone not stated). Polymarket resolves on a single exchange source (binance.com).

Source named: binance.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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