Bitcoin

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 9?

96% say yes

Down 3 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by November 9, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 96¢ means about a 96% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules. Yes wins if: The Binance 1 minute for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

Possible results

YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.96%
What has to happen
The Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
NoIt doesn’t happen.4%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 9, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart

Yes 96%No 4%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 3.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 94.4¢ to 97.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)3h ago
The price rose 3.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 93.4¢ to 96.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)6h ago
The price rose 3.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 89.7¢ to 93.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)6h ago
The price fell 9.8 points in about 15 minutes, from 97.5¢ to 87.7¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)7h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 6 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
5h ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
5h ago
Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.
7h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date…”
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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