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Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?

>99% say yes

Up 46 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 6, 2026, 2:45 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 6, 2026, 2:45 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Standard Liege wins.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.>99%

    What has to happen

    Standard Liege wins.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.<1%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 6, 2026, 2:45 PM ET.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 22.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 77.5¢ to 99.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

  • The price rose 6.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 68.5¢ to 74.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

  • The price rose 22.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 47.5¢ to 69.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Fri, Nov 6, 2026, 2:45 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If Standard Liege wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If a result is awarded by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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