Fed & Rates

Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 after November 2026 meeting?

<1% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by Bank of Mexico official website, by November 5, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesWhat the question describes actually happens.<1%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 5, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.>99%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.

See all fine print

If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, the market settles as the “No Change” bracket.

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsSettled by Bank of Mexico official website

Fine-print risk

Low (25/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Bank of Mexico official website (banxico.org.mx). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 6:59 PM ET.

Source named: Bank of Mexico official website (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026…”
“If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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