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Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

Named source: UEFA official · End date Dec 31, 11:59 PM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders give Mbappé more than 99% and Yamal less than 1% in “Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher”.

It rose 30 points today, and there are more buy orders than sell orders waiting near the price right now.

Low surprise risk: the condition as written settles it.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

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The details

Rule note: stated conditionSettled by UEFA official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
Stated Condition

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on UEFA official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the condition as written with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (scheduled start) Deadline: Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: UEFA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: UEFA official
Fine-print risk: Low (5/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 5
1.
Who settles it (official source)
UEFA official results; credible reporting as a last resort
2.
Deadline and time zone
Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (scheduled start) America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Stated ConditionResolution condition as written: "This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking."
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Mbappé" if Kylian Mbappé finishes higher than Lamine Yamal in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Yamal" if Lamine Yamal finishes higher than Kylian Mbappé. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver