Tennis

Zverev vs Griekspoor: who will win?

85% say Alexander Zverev wins

Up 6 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 5, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 12, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 85¢ means about an 85% chance.

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The short version

Alexander Zverev and Tallon Griekspoor play a tennis match at the Erste Bank Open, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM .

Possible results

Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev wins and moves on.85%
What has to happen
Alexander Zverev advances against Tallon Griekspoor.
Tallon GriekspoorTallon Griekspoor wins and moves on.15%
What has to happen
Tallon Griekspoor advances against Alexander Zverev.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 12, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
The official result comes from the ATP Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.

Price chart

Alexander Zverev 85%Tallon Griekspoor 15%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 13 points in about 15 minutes, from 73.5¢ to 86.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: ATP official1h ago

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by ATP official

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 14 times the usual hourly amount).
4m ago
Trading picked up (about 16 times the usual hourly amount).
34m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Tallon Griekspoor in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Tallon Griekspoor. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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