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Tennis

Alcaraz vs Ruud: who will win?

98% say Casper Ruud wins

Prices last updated 33 minutes ago. They normally update every minute.

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 98¢ means about a 98% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud play a tennis match, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM .

Possible results

  • Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz wins and moves on.2%

    What has to happen

    Carlos Alcaraz wins 4.5 or more total games than Casper Ruud in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

  • Casper RuudCasper Ruud wins and moves on.98%

    What has to happen

    Casper Ruud beats Carlos Alcaraz, under the rules.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print
  • The official result comes from the ATP Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by ATP official
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Casper Ruud".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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