MarketWeaver

Tennis

Musetti vs Samuel: who will win?

Settled: Lorenzo Musetti

Decided by the official result, under the rules

Result posted: Tue Nov 10, 3:47 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Tue Nov 10, 3:47 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel play a tennis match, scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti wins.Yes

    What has to happen

    Lorenzo Musetti wins by 2 or more sets than Toby Samuel, based on the final completed score.

  • Toby SamuelToby Samuel wins.No

    What has to happen

    Toby Samuel beats Lorenzo Musetti, under the rules.

The one trap

Otherwise, it settles as "Toby Samuel." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round.

See all fine print
  • For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lorenzo Musetti can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and the market settles as "Toby Samuel." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 1:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after…”
  • “Otherwise, it will resolve to "Toby Samuel."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Set Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Toby Samuel (+1.5): explained simply · MarketWeaver