MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Tennis

Michelsen vs Hanfmann: who will win?

72% say Alex Michelsen wins

Up 22 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 23, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 72¢ means about a 72% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Alex Michelsen and Yannick Hanfmann play a tennis match, scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM .

Possible results

  • Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen wins.72%

    What has to happen

    Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Yannick Hanfmann, based on the final completed score.

  • Yannick HanfmannYannick Hanfmann wins.28%

    What has to happen

    Yannick Hanfmann beats Alex Michelsen, under the rules.

The one trap

Otherwise, it settles as "Yannick Hanfmann." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round.

See all fine print
  • For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Michelsen can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and the market settles as "Yannick Hanfmann." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 78.5¢ to 71.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed12s ago

  • The price rose 38 points in about 15 minutes, from 38.5¢ to 76.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed30m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after…”
  • “Otherwise, it will resolve to "Yannick Hanfmann."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.