Tennis

Marcondes vs Carabelli: who will win?

Settled: Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Result posted: Wed Nov 4, 6:45 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Nov 4, 6:45 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Camilo Ugo Carabelli play a tennis match in Costa do Sauipe, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET.

Possible results

Igor Ribeiro MarcondesIgor Ribeiro Marcondes wins and moves on.No
What has to happen
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
Camilo Ugo CarabelliCamilo Ugo Carabelli wins and moves on.Yes
What has to happen
Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 18, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
The official result comes from the ATP Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by ATP official

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 2:30 PM ET.

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour.”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59…”
“If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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