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Will Al Qadsiah win on 2026-11-02?

>99% say Al Qadsiah wins

Up 33 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 2, 2026, 1:15 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 2, 2026, 1:15 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah wins.>99%
What has to happen
Al Qadsiah wins.
Al Gharafa SCAl Gharafa SC wins.<1%
What has to happen
Al Gharafa SC wins.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".

Price chart

Yes >99%No <1%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 2, 2026, 1:15 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
18m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Al Qadsiah wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If a result is awarded by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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