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Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-05?

>99% say Machida Zelvia wins

Up 28 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 5, 2026, 5:00 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 5, 2026, 5:00 AM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia wins.>99%
What has to happen
Machida Zelvia wins.
Shanghai Shenhua FCShanghai Shenhua FC wins.<1%
What has to happen
Shanghai Shenhua FC wins.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".

Price chart

Yes >99%No <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 61.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 39¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
22m ago
Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.
53m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Machida Zelvia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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