Other

Will Austin Smotherman win the 2026 Austin Championship?

2% say yes

Prices last updated 26 minutes ago. They normally update every minute.

Down 2 points today.

Decided by PGA Tour official results, by November 15, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 2¢ means about a 2% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesWhat the question describes actually happens.2%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 15, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.98%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If an unlisted player wins the Austin Championship tournament the market settles as "Other".

See all fine print

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules.

Price chart

Yes 2%No 98%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by PGA Tour official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on PGA Tour official results. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

Source named: PGA Tour official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Austin Championship tournament.”
“If no winner is announced by November 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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